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Inference using Probabilistic Concept Trees
Proceedings of the Sixth International Workshop on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, PMLR R1:191-202, 1997.
Abstract
Discussions of ’probabilistic reasoning systems’ often presuppose a belief network, which represents the joint probability distribution of a domain, as the primary knowledge structure. However, another common knowledge structure from which the joint probability distribution can be recovered is a hierarchical probabilistic clustering or probabilistic concept tree (Fisher, 1987). Probabilistic concept trees are a target structure for a number of clustering systems from machine learning such as COBWEB (Fisher, 1987) and systems by Hadzikadik and Yun (1989), Gennari, Langley, and Fisher (1989), Decaestecker (1991), Anderson and Matessa (1991), Reich and Fenves (1991), Biswas, Weinberg, and Li (1994), De Alte Da Veiga (1994), Kilander (1994) Ketterlin, Gan{\c}arski, and Korczak (1995), and Nevins (1995). Related probabilistic structures are produced by systems such as AUTOCLASS (Cheeseman, Kelly, Self, Stutz, Taylor, &Freeman, 1988), SNOB (Wallace &Boulton, 1968; Wallace & Dowe, 1994) , and systems by Hanson and Bauer (1989) and Martin and Billman (1994). These systems can be easily adapted to form probabilistic concept trees of the type we describe. This paper will not focus on clustering systems \emph{per se}, but on characteristics and capabilities of probabilistic concept trees, particularly as they relate to inference tasks often associated with belief networks. As ’object-centered’ knowledge structures, probabilistic concept trees nicely complement the ’variable-centered’, belief network structure.