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Inferring latent structures via information inequalities
Proceedings of the 30th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, PMLR R12:96-105, 2014.
Abstract
One of the goals of probabilistic inference is to decide whether an empirically observed distribution is compatible with a candidate Bayesian network. However, Bayesian net- works with hidden variables give rise to highly non-trivial constraints on the ob- served distribution. Here, we propose an information-theoretic approach, based on the insight that conditions on entropies of Bayesian networks take the form of simple linear inequalities. We describe an algorithm for deriving entropic tests for latent struc- tures. The well-known conditional indepen- dence tests appear as a special case. While the approach applies for generic Bayesian networks, we presently adopt the causal view, and show the versatility of the framework by treating several relevant problems from that domain: detecting common ancestors, quan- tifying the strength of causal influence, and inferring the direction of causation from two- variable marginals.