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A Hierarchical Switching Linear Dynamical System Applied to the Detection of Sepsis in Neonatal Condition Monitoring
Proceedings of the 30th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, PMLR R12:755-764, 2014.
Abstract
In this paper we develop a Hierarchi- cal Switching Linear Dynamical System (HSLDS) for the detection of sepsis in neonates in an intensive care unit. The Fac- torial Switching LDS (FSLDS) of Quinn et al. (2009) is able to describe the observed vital signs data in terms of a number of discrete factors, which have either physiological or ar- tifactual origin. In this paper we demonstrate that by adding a higher-level discrete variable with semantics sepsis/non-sepsis we can de- tect changes in the physiological factors that signal the presence of sepsis. We demonstrate that the performance of our model for the detection of sepsis is not statistically differ- ent from the auto-regressive HMM of Stan- culescu et al. (2013), despite the fact that their model is given “ground truth” annota- tions of the physiological factors, while our HSLDS must infer them from the raw vital signs data.