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Approximate Evidential Reasoning Using Local Conditioning and Conditional Belief Functions
Proceedings of the 33rd Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, PMLR R15:101-110, 2017.
Abstract
We propose a new message-passing belief propa- gation method that approximates belief updating on evidential networks with conditional belief functions. By means of local conditioning, the method is able to propagate beliefs on the origi- nal multiply-connected network structure using local computations, facilitating reasoning in a distributed and dynamic context. Further, by use of conditional belief functions in the form of par- tially defined plausibility and basic plausibility assignment functions, belief updating can be ef- ficiently approximated using only partial infor- mation of the belief functions involved. Exper- iments show that the method produces results with high degree of accuracy whilst achieving a significant decrease in computational and space complexity (compared to exact methods).