Group-based Motion Prediction for Navigation in Crowded Environments

Allan Wang, Christoforos Mavrogiannis, Aaron Steinfeld
Proceedings of the 5th Conference on Robot Learning, PMLR 164:871-882, 2022.

Abstract

We focus on the problem of planning the motion of a robot in a dynamic multiagent environment such as a pedestrian scene. Enabling the robot to navigate safely and in a socially compliant fashion in such scenes requires a representation that accounts for the unfolding multiagent dynamics. Existing approaches to this problem tend to employ microscopic models of motion prediction that reason about the individual behavior of other agents. While such models may achieve high tracking accuracy in trajectory prediction benchmarks, they often lack an understanding of the group structures unfolding in crowded scenes. Inspired by the Gestalt theory from psychology, we build a Model Predictive Control framework (G-MPC) that leverages group-based prediction for robot motion planning. We conduct an extensive simulation study involving a series of challenging navigation tasks in scenes extracted from two real-world pedestrian datasets. We illustrate that G-MPC enables a robot to achieve statistically significantly higher safety and lower number of group intrusions than a series of baselines featuring individual pedestrian motion prediction models. Finally, we show that G-MPC can handle noisy lidar-scan estimates without significant performance losses.

Cite this Paper


BibTeX
@InProceedings{pmlr-v164-wang22e, title = {Group-based Motion Prediction for Navigation in Crowded Environments}, author = {Wang, Allan and Mavrogiannis, Christoforos and Steinfeld, Aaron}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 5th Conference on Robot Learning}, pages = {871--882}, year = {2022}, editor = {Faust, Aleksandra and Hsu, David and Neumann, Gerhard}, volume = {164}, series = {Proceedings of Machine Learning Research}, month = {08--11 Nov}, publisher = {PMLR}, pdf = {https://proceedings.mlr.press/v164/wang22e/wang22e.pdf}, url = {https://proceedings.mlr.press/v164/wang22e.html}, abstract = {We focus on the problem of planning the motion of a robot in a dynamic multiagent environment such as a pedestrian scene. Enabling the robot to navigate safely and in a socially compliant fashion in such scenes requires a representation that accounts for the unfolding multiagent dynamics. Existing approaches to this problem tend to employ microscopic models of motion prediction that reason about the individual behavior of other agents. While such models may achieve high tracking accuracy in trajectory prediction benchmarks, they often lack an understanding of the group structures unfolding in crowded scenes. Inspired by the Gestalt theory from psychology, we build a Model Predictive Control framework (G-MPC) that leverages group-based prediction for robot motion planning. We conduct an extensive simulation study involving a series of challenging navigation tasks in scenes extracted from two real-world pedestrian datasets. We illustrate that G-MPC enables a robot to achieve statistically significantly higher safety and lower number of group intrusions than a series of baselines featuring individual pedestrian motion prediction models. Finally, we show that G-MPC can handle noisy lidar-scan estimates without significant performance losses.} }
Endnote
%0 Conference Paper %T Group-based Motion Prediction for Navigation in Crowded Environments %A Allan Wang %A Christoforos Mavrogiannis %A Aaron Steinfeld %B Proceedings of the 5th Conference on Robot Learning %C Proceedings of Machine Learning Research %D 2022 %E Aleksandra Faust %E David Hsu %E Gerhard Neumann %F pmlr-v164-wang22e %I PMLR %P 871--882 %U https://proceedings.mlr.press/v164/wang22e.html %V 164 %X We focus on the problem of planning the motion of a robot in a dynamic multiagent environment such as a pedestrian scene. Enabling the robot to navigate safely and in a socially compliant fashion in such scenes requires a representation that accounts for the unfolding multiagent dynamics. Existing approaches to this problem tend to employ microscopic models of motion prediction that reason about the individual behavior of other agents. While such models may achieve high tracking accuracy in trajectory prediction benchmarks, they often lack an understanding of the group structures unfolding in crowded scenes. Inspired by the Gestalt theory from psychology, we build a Model Predictive Control framework (G-MPC) that leverages group-based prediction for robot motion planning. We conduct an extensive simulation study involving a series of challenging navigation tasks in scenes extracted from two real-world pedestrian datasets. We illustrate that G-MPC enables a robot to achieve statistically significantly higher safety and lower number of group intrusions than a series of baselines featuring individual pedestrian motion prediction models. Finally, we show that G-MPC can handle noisy lidar-scan estimates without significant performance losses.
APA
Wang, A., Mavrogiannis, C. & Steinfeld, A.. (2022). Group-based Motion Prediction for Navigation in Crowded Environments. Proceedings of the 5th Conference on Robot Learning, in Proceedings of Machine Learning Research 164:871-882 Available from https://proceedings.mlr.press/v164/wang22e.html.

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