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Modeling and Analysis of Olympic Medal Table Based on Multiple Features
Proceedings of 2025 2nd International Conference on Machine Learning and Intelligent Computing, PMLR 278:726-733, 2025.
Abstract
In the first part, this study first used the winning records and medal data of Olympic competitions. Based on the relevant variation characteristics of medal counts, their impact was assessed by quantifying the fluctuation of medal counts under multiple characteristics. For medal counts, they were incorporated into a medal prediction model under time series through stacked integration. LR, LASSO, SVM, and Catboost were used as base leaners in the first layer ; RF, XGBoost, and LightGBM were used in the second layer of the meta-learner; and the optimal stacked integration learning for medal count prediction under time series was subsequently determined. Subsequently, the medal standings for the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles, USA were predicted under dynamic simulation as the entire sequential system was varied. Based on the parameter-adjusted feature structure of countries without medal counts, two evaluation models were constructed, one of which was initialized with a fixed medal-associated parameter ratio. According to the model framework, the impact of no medal data is parameterized according to the model parameter distribution law to complete the analysis of countries with no medal counts.