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Limit-sure Reachability for Small Memory Policies in POMDPs is NP-complete
Proceedings of the Forty-first Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, PMLR 286:238-256, 2025.
Abstract
A standard model that arises in several applications in sequential decision-making is partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) where a decision-making agent interacts with an uncertain environment. A basic objective in POMDPs is the reachability objective, where given a target set of states, the goal is to eventually arrive at one of them. The limit-sure problem asks whether reachability can be ensured with probability arbitrarily close to 1. In general, the limit-sure reachability problem for POMDPs is undecidable. However, in many practical cases, the most relevant question is the existence of policies with a small amount of memory. In this work, we study the limit-sure reachability problem for POMDPs with a fixed amount of memory. We establish that the computational complexity of the problem is NP-complete.