FlowPINNs: A Variational Framework for PDE Parameter Inference and Uncertainty Quantification

David Dalton, Hao Gao, Dirk Husmeier
Proceedings of The 29th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, PMLR 300:2899-2907, 2026.

Abstract

Inverse problems for parameter identification in systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) arise in many areas of science and engineering. Traditionally, such problems have been addressed using classical numerical methods. More recently, physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have emerged as a promising alternative for learning PDE-constrained models directly from data. However, providing principled uncertainty quantification (UQ) for the predictions obtained using PINNs remains a significant challenge. To address this limitation, we introduce flowPINNs, a probabilistic framework for estimation and UQ in PDE parameter inverse problems. The central idea is to define a variational posterior that combines a normalising flow approximation for the distribution over the PDE parameters with a parameterised PINN representing the corresponding PDE solution. This joint formulation enables efficient posterior inference via maximisation of the evidence lower bound (ELBO), thereby casting the inverse problem as a tractable optimisation task. Through a series of numerical experiments, we demonstrate that flowPINNs can achieve improved performance with strong computational efficiency when compared to existing UQ approaches for PINNs.

Cite this Paper


BibTeX
@InProceedings{pmlr-v300-dalton26a, title = { FlowPINNs: A Variational Framework for PDE Parameter Inference and Uncertainty Quantification }, author = {Dalton, David and Gao, Hao and Husmeier, Dirk}, booktitle = {Proceedings of The 29th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics}, pages = {2899--2907}, year = {2026}, editor = {Khan, Emtiyaz and Li, Yingzhen and Solin, Arno and Ramdas, Aaditya}, volume = {300}, series = {Proceedings of Machine Learning Research}, month = {02--05 May}, publisher = {PMLR}, pdf = {https://raw.githubusercontent.com/mlresearch/v300/main/assets/dalton26a/dalton26a.pdf}, url = {https://proceedings.mlr.press/v300/dalton26a.html}, abstract = { Inverse problems for parameter identification in systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) arise in many areas of science and engineering. Traditionally, such problems have been addressed using classical numerical methods. More recently, physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have emerged as a promising alternative for learning PDE-constrained models directly from data. However, providing principled uncertainty quantification (UQ) for the predictions obtained using PINNs remains a significant challenge. To address this limitation, we introduce flowPINNs, a probabilistic framework for estimation and UQ in PDE parameter inverse problems. The central idea is to define a variational posterior that combines a normalising flow approximation for the distribution over the PDE parameters with a parameterised PINN representing the corresponding PDE solution. This joint formulation enables efficient posterior inference via maximisation of the evidence lower bound (ELBO), thereby casting the inverse problem as a tractable optimisation task. Through a series of numerical experiments, we demonstrate that flowPINNs can achieve improved performance with strong computational efficiency when compared to existing UQ approaches for PINNs. } }
Endnote
%0 Conference Paper %T FlowPINNs: A Variational Framework for PDE Parameter Inference and Uncertainty Quantification %A David Dalton %A Hao Gao %A Dirk Husmeier %B Proceedings of The 29th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics %C Proceedings of Machine Learning Research %D 2026 %E Emtiyaz Khan %E Yingzhen Li %E Arno Solin %E Aaditya Ramdas %F pmlr-v300-dalton26a %I PMLR %P 2899--2907 %U https://proceedings.mlr.press/v300/dalton26a.html %V 300 %X Inverse problems for parameter identification in systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) arise in many areas of science and engineering. Traditionally, such problems have been addressed using classical numerical methods. More recently, physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have emerged as a promising alternative for learning PDE-constrained models directly from data. However, providing principled uncertainty quantification (UQ) for the predictions obtained using PINNs remains a significant challenge. To address this limitation, we introduce flowPINNs, a probabilistic framework for estimation and UQ in PDE parameter inverse problems. The central idea is to define a variational posterior that combines a normalising flow approximation for the distribution over the PDE parameters with a parameterised PINN representing the corresponding PDE solution. This joint formulation enables efficient posterior inference via maximisation of the evidence lower bound (ELBO), thereby casting the inverse problem as a tractable optimisation task. Through a series of numerical experiments, we demonstrate that flowPINNs can achieve improved performance with strong computational efficiency when compared to existing UQ approaches for PINNs.
APA
Dalton, D., Gao, H. & Husmeier, D.. (2026). FlowPINNs: A Variational Framework for PDE Parameter Inference and Uncertainty Quantification . Proceedings of The 29th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, in Proceedings of Machine Learning Research 300:2899-2907 Available from https://proceedings.mlr.press/v300/dalton26a.html.

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