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Evidential DualU-Net: Single-Pass Uncertainty for Cell Instance Segmentation
Proceedings of The 9th International Conference on Medical Imaging with Deep Learning, PMLR 315:3103-3130, 2026.
Abstract
Accurate and trustworthy cell instance segmentation requires models that not only detect and classify nuclei but also communicate how much evidence supports each prediction. DualU-Net is a fast and effective two-head multi-task architecture for this problem, but—like most deterministic models—it provides no principled uncertainty estimates. We introduce Evidential DualU-Net, the first evidential framework for multi-task cell instance segmentation.Its segmentation head predicts Dirichlet concentration parameters, enabling single-pass, closed-form aleatoric, epistemic, and vacuity uncertainties at the pixel level, with instance-level quantities obtained via size-invariant pooling of pixel evidence. The centroid decoder is complemented with two lightweight geometric uncertainty cues that quantify localisation reliability without auxiliary models or sampling. Together, these evidential and geometric measures expose complementary failure modes and allow principled filtering of low-confidence nuclei. Across multi-tissue and multi-stain datasets, Evidential DualU-Net matches or surpasses deep ensembles and MC Dropout in error separation at a fraction of the cost, maintains or improves calibration over deterministic baselines, and generalises across datasets without retuning. This work provides an interpretable and computationally practical uncertainty formulation for digital pathology.