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Chronological Contrastive Learning: Few-Shot Progression Assessment in Irreversible Diseases
Proceedings of The 9th International Conference on Medical Imaging with Deep Learning, PMLR 315:2795-2817, 2026.
Abstract
Quantitative disease severity scoring in medical imaging is costly, time-consuming, and subject to inter-reader variability. At the same time, clinical archives contain far more longitudinal imaging data than expert-annotated severity scores. Existing self-supervised methods typically ignore this chronological structure. We introduce ChronoCon, a contrastive learning approach that replaces label-based ranking losses with rankings derived solely from the visitation order of a patient’s longitudinal scans. Under the clinically plausible assumption of monotonic progression in irreversible diseases, the method learns disease-relevant representations without using any expert labels. This generalizes the idea of Rank-N-Contrast from label distances to temporal ordering. Evaluated on rheumatoid arthritis radiographs for severity assessment, the learned representations substantially improve label efficiency. In low-label settings, ChronoCon significantly outperforms a fully supervised baseline initialized from ImageNet weights. In a few-shot learning experiment, fine-tuning ChronoCon on expert scores from only five patients yields an intraclass correlation coefficient of 86% for severity score prediction. These results demonstrate the potential of chronological contrastive learning to exploit routinely available imaging metadata to reduce annotation requirements in the irreversible disease domain.