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Machine Learning Prediction of Groundwater Contamination Vulnerability Using Hydrogeophysical Indicators in Ibadan
Proceedings of IndabaX Nigeria 2026: Building Scalable AI That Works: From Research to Deployment in Resource-Constrained Environments, PMLR 319:155-166, 2026.
Abstract
This study employs machine learning to estimate groundwater contamination vulnerability in Ibadan, southwestern Nigeria, using hydrogeophysical indicators from 353 Vertical Electrical Sounding (VES) surveys. A Random Forest classifier trained on GOD/GODT vulnerability labels achieved accuracy = 0.94, precision = 0.94, recall = 0.93, F1-score = 0.93, and AUC = 0.95. Overburden thickness and longitudinal conductance were the most significant predictors. The model identified fifteen high-vulnerability zones versus nine from conventional GODT, demonstrating its ability to capture nonlinear interactions that conventional methods miss.