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Ensemble Diversity Optimization for Subjective Supervision
Proceedings of the 42nd Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, PMLR 337:1357-1377, 2026.
Abstract
Subjective NLP tasks often exhibit systematic annotator disagreement, requiring models that represent uncertainty rather than collapse it. We introduce Ensemble Diversity Optimization (EDO), a prediction-space framework that jointly optimizes ensemble weights, effective cardinality, and calibration through a unified differentiable objective. EDO learns ensemble composition and size end-to-end via Gumbel–Softmax relaxation and incorporates a signed diversity regularizer, tuned on validation data, to steer optimization toward either preserving or suppressing disagreement. This regularization prevents ensemble collapse and enables controlled navigation of the utility–calibration trade-off. The framework integrates a soft F1 surrogate, class-weighted cross-entropy to address imbalance, and reliability-weighted diversity to regulate intra-ensemble variability. Experiments on four subjective text-classification benchmarks (ArMIS, ConvAbuse, HS-Brexit, MD-Agreement) show that EDO substantially improves probabilistic calibration, reducing cross-entropy (40–78% depending on baseline) and lowering Brier scores relative to Soft-CE, Soft-MD, Top-5 Voting, and WEL, while maintaining competitive F1 and better alignment with annotator distributions. These results demonstrate that jointly optimizing ensemble structure with a signed diversity regularizer provides an efficient, model-agnostic approach for modeling human subjectivity in supervised learning.