Learning Max-Stable Representations that Extrapolate

Ali Hasan, Patrick Kendal Kuiper, Yuting Ng, Jose Blanchet, Vahid Tarokh
Proceedings of the 42nd Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, PMLR 337:2075-2084, 2026.

Abstract

High-dimensional images and measurements may indicate extreme and rare behavior, such as advanced stages of cancer or material failure, and understanding these distributions is important for many disciplines. Classically, extreme value theory (EVT) provides a theoretical framework for extrapolating based on extremeness of magnitude of measurements and is used to model the tail of a distribution from limited observations. We propose a framework for learning representations from high dimensional observations that are amenable to analysis using classical EVT. Specifically, we propose extending the $\max$-stability property of EVT to $\varphi$-stability, which generalizes the $\max$ operator to a more general operator $\varphi$ that has practical applications in high dimensional cases. We base $\varphi$-stability on representation learning techniques such that the resulting representations lend themselves to analysis by EVT and can model high-dimensional observations of extreme characteristics. This enables our method to extrapolate to observations of extreme behavior in the observation domain. We then extend our method to infinite dimensional observations such as time series. Empirical results indicate the utility of using max-stability for representations to extrapolate beyond the training data.

Cite this Paper


BibTeX
@InProceedings{pmlr-v337-hasan26a, title = {Learning Max-Stable Representations that Extrapolate}, author = {Hasan, Ali and Kuiper, Patrick Kendal and Ng, Yuting and Blanchet, Jose and Tarokh, Vahid}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 42nd Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence}, pages = {2075--2084}, year = {2026}, editor = {Perković, Emilija and Malinsky, Daniel}, volume = {337}, series = {Proceedings of Machine Learning Research}, month = {17--21 Aug}, publisher = {PMLR}, pdf = {https://raw.githubusercontent.com/mlresearch/v337/main/assets/hasan26a/hasan26a.pdf}, url = {https://proceedings.mlr.press/v337/hasan26a.html}, abstract = {High-dimensional images and measurements may indicate extreme and rare behavior, such as advanced stages of cancer or material failure, and understanding these distributions is important for many disciplines. Classically, extreme value theory (EVT) provides a theoretical framework for extrapolating based on extremeness of magnitude of measurements and is used to model the tail of a distribution from limited observations. We propose a framework for learning representations from high dimensional observations that are amenable to analysis using classical EVT. Specifically, we propose extending the $\max$-stability property of EVT to $\varphi$-stability, which generalizes the $\max$ operator to a more general operator $\varphi$ that has practical applications in high dimensional cases. We base $\varphi$-stability on representation learning techniques such that the resulting representations lend themselves to analysis by EVT and can model high-dimensional observations of extreme characteristics. This enables our method to extrapolate to observations of extreme behavior in the observation domain. We then extend our method to infinite dimensional observations such as time series. Empirical results indicate the utility of using max-stability for representations to extrapolate beyond the training data.} }
Endnote
%0 Conference Paper %T Learning Max-Stable Representations that Extrapolate %A Ali Hasan %A Patrick Kendal Kuiper %A Yuting Ng %A Jose Blanchet %A Vahid Tarokh %B Proceedings of the 42nd Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence %C Proceedings of Machine Learning Research %D 2026 %E Emilija Perković %E Daniel Malinsky %F pmlr-v337-hasan26a %I PMLR %P 2075--2084 %U https://proceedings.mlr.press/v337/hasan26a.html %V 337 %X High-dimensional images and measurements may indicate extreme and rare behavior, such as advanced stages of cancer or material failure, and understanding these distributions is important for many disciplines. Classically, extreme value theory (EVT) provides a theoretical framework for extrapolating based on extremeness of magnitude of measurements and is used to model the tail of a distribution from limited observations. We propose a framework for learning representations from high dimensional observations that are amenable to analysis using classical EVT. Specifically, we propose extending the $\max$-stability property of EVT to $\varphi$-stability, which generalizes the $\max$ operator to a more general operator $\varphi$ that has practical applications in high dimensional cases. We base $\varphi$-stability on representation learning techniques such that the resulting representations lend themselves to analysis by EVT and can model high-dimensional observations of extreme characteristics. This enables our method to extrapolate to observations of extreme behavior in the observation domain. We then extend our method to infinite dimensional observations such as time series. Empirical results indicate the utility of using max-stability for representations to extrapolate beyond the training data.
APA
Hasan, A., Kuiper, P.K., Ng, Y., Blanchet, J. & Tarokh, V.. (2026). Learning Max-Stable Representations that Extrapolate. Proceedings of the 42nd Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, in Proceedings of Machine Learning Research 337:2075-2084 Available from https://proceedings.mlr.press/v337/hasan26a.html.

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