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APIC: Amortized Physics-Informed Calibration using Neural Processes
Proceedings of the 42nd Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, PMLR 337:6900-6916, 2026.
Abstract
Physics models are inherently imperfect due to misspecified or missing mechanisms, resulting in systematic discrepancies between model predictions and real-world observations. The Kennedy–O’Hagan (KOH) framework addresses this issue through explicit discrepancy modeling. However, its non-amortized, per-instance formulation limits scalability across families of related systems. We introduce Amortized Physics-Informed Calibration ({APIC}), a population-level extension of KOH that leverages Neural Processes to perform scalable {Bayesian} inference across realizations. Our framework employs a two-branch latent architecture to disentangle instance-specific physical parameters from shared, state-dependent structural discrepancies. By integrating differentiable physics into an amortized inference backbone, {APIC} enables rapid calibration of unseen realizations from sparse observations while quantifying uncertainty. Experiments on the damped spring oscillator, the Lotka–Volterra system, and the advection–diffusion {PDE} with misspecified physics demonstrate improved parameter recovery and consistent identification of the systemic discrepancy structure compared to other calibration approaches.