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Improving online FDR procedures via online analogs of e-closure and compound e-values
Proceedings of the 42nd Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, PMLR 337:7552-7561, 2026.
Abstract
In many scientific applications, hypotheses are generated and tested continuously in a stream. We develop a framework for improving online multiple testing procedures with false discovery rate ({FDR}) control under arbitrary dependence. Our approach is two-fold: we construct methods via the online e-closure principle, as well as a novel formulation in online compound e-values constructed via donations. This yields strict power improvements over state-of-the-art e-value and p-value procedures while retaining {FDR} control. We further derive algorithms that compute the rejection decision at time $t$ in $O(\log t)$ time, and we demonstrate improved empirical performance on synthetic and real data.