[edit]
Quantifying Boundary Reliability in Endoscopic Ultrasound Pancreas Segmentation via Evidential Deep Learning
Proceedings of the 11th Machine Learning for Healthcare Conference, PMLR 340:886-912, 2026.
Abstract
Pancreatic cancer has a very high mortality rate, making its early detection essential for improving patient survival. Endoscopic Ultrasound (EUS) offers spatial resolution necessary for early-stage screening, but it is sensitive to artifacts, noise, and low contrast, which make automated image analysis challenging. We present an uncertainty-aware framework for EUS pancreas segmentation, benchmarking four U-Net variants across multi-institutional datasets. nnU-Net achieved the strongest performance with a Dice score of $0.811 \pm 0.122$ on our internal data. We introduce Inside Ground Truth Annulus Percentage (IGTP), a clinically-motivated metric revealing that models systematically fail to adhere to distal pancreatic margins where acoustic shadowing is severe. To localize these failures, we trained an evidential nnU-Net that parameterizes pixel-wise class probabilities using a Dirichlet distribution and learns evidence through an expected cross-entropy objective with KL regularization. The learned Dirichlet parameters enable the estimation of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in a single forward pass. Quantitative analysis showed that higher epistemic uncertainty was associated with poorer segmentation and boundary adherence and provided a predictive signal to identify low-performing cases. Together, the proposed IGTP metric and trained evidential framework establish a trustworthy foundation for AI-assisted EUS screening.