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Handling onset age inconsistencies in longitudinal healthcare survey data
Proceedings of the 11th Machine Learning for Healthcare Conference, PMLR 340:1013-1055, 2026.
Abstract
Longitudinal healthcare surveys frequently contain inconsistencies in self-reported onset ages, where participants report different ages for the same condition between enrollment and follow-up surveys. We propose two methods to handle this challenge. First, we introduce a procedure that aggregates inconsistency patterns to construct participant-level reliability scores, enabling researchers to stratify participants and prioritize analysis on high-reliability cohorts. Second, we present a Bayesian adjustment method that models enrollment and follow-up reports as noisy observations of a latent true onset age, producing adjusted estimates for the inconsistent observations that account for age-dependent and inter-survey-time effects. We evaluate both methods using data from the Canadian Partnership for Tomorrow’s Health, where 57.1% of participants exhibit onset age inconsistencies. In general, both methods substantially strengthen correlations between biologically related conditions and improve predictive performance across classification and regression tasks. In addition, high-reliability cohorts from reliability score-based stratification reveal more coherent and interpretable disease clustering networks, and Bayesian adjustment shows particularly notable gains when multiple inconsistent variables are adjusted simultaneously. Finally, we provide guidance on choosing between these methods for healthcare practitioners.