Causality for Functional Longitudinal Data

Andrew Ying
Proceedings of the Third Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning, PMLR 236:665-687, 2024.

Abstract

“Treatment-confounder feedback” is the central complication to resolve in longitudinal studies, to infer causality. The existing frameworks of identifying causal effects for longitudinal studies with repeated measures hinge heavily on assuming that time advances in discrete time steps or data change as a jumping process, rendering the number of “feedbacks” finite. However, medical studies nowadays with real-time monitoring involve functional time-varying outcomes, treatment, and confounders, which leads to an uncountably infinite number of “feedbacks”. Therefore more general and advanced theory is needed. We generalize the definition of causal effects under user-specified stochastic treatment regimes to functional longitudinal studies with continuous monitoring and develop an identification framework for a end-of-study outcome. We provide sufficient identification assumptions including a generalized consistency assumption, a sequential randomization assumption, a positivity assumption, and a novel “intervenable” assumption designed for the continuous-time case. Under these assumptions, we propose a g-computation process and an inverse probability weighting process, which suggest a g-computation formula and an inverse probability weighting formula for identification. For practical purposes, we also construct two classes of population estimating equations to identify these two processes, respectively, which further suggest a doubly robust identification formula with extra robustness against process misspecification.

Cite this Paper

BibTeX
@InProceedings{pmlr-v236-ying24a, title = {Causality for Functional Longitudinal Data}, author = {Ying, Andrew}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the Third Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning}, pages = {665--687}, year = {2024}, editor = {Locatello, Francesco and Didelez, Vanessa}, volume = {236}, series = {Proceedings of Machine Learning Research}, month = {01--03 Apr}, publisher = {PMLR}, pdf = {https://proceedings.mlr.press/v236/ying24a/ying24a.pdf}, url = {https://proceedings.mlr.press/v236/ying24a.html}, abstract = {“Treatment-confounder feedback” is the central complication to resolve in longitudinal studies, to infer causality. The existing frameworks of identifying causal effects for longitudinal studies with repeated measures hinge heavily on assuming that time advances in discrete time steps or data change as a jumping process, rendering the number of “feedbacks” finite. However, medical studies nowadays with real-time monitoring involve functional time-varying outcomes, treatment, and confounders, which leads to an uncountably infinite number of “feedbacks”. Therefore more general and advanced theory is needed. We generalize the definition of causal effects under user-specified stochastic treatment regimes to functional longitudinal studies with continuous monitoring and develop an identification framework for a end-of-study outcome. We provide sufficient identification assumptions including a generalized consistency assumption, a sequential randomization assumption, a positivity assumption, and a novel “intervenable” assumption designed for the continuous-time case. Under these assumptions, we propose a g-computation process and an inverse probability weighting process, which suggest a g-computation formula and an inverse probability weighting formula for identification. For practical purposes, we also construct two classes of population estimating equations to identify these two processes, respectively, which further suggest a doubly robust identification formula with extra robustness against process misspecification.} }
Endnote
%0 Conference Paper %T Causality for Functional Longitudinal Data %A Andrew Ying %B Proceedings of the Third Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning %C Proceedings of Machine Learning Research %D 2024 %E Francesco Locatello %E Vanessa Didelez %F pmlr-v236-ying24a %I PMLR %P 665--687 %U https://proceedings.mlr.press/v236/ying24a.html %V 236 %X “Treatment-confounder feedback” is the central complication to resolve in longitudinal studies, to infer causality. The existing frameworks of identifying causal effects for longitudinal studies with repeated measures hinge heavily on assuming that time advances in discrete time steps or data change as a jumping process, rendering the number of “feedbacks” finite. However, medical studies nowadays with real-time monitoring involve functional time-varying outcomes, treatment, and confounders, which leads to an uncountably infinite number of “feedbacks”. Therefore more general and advanced theory is needed. We generalize the definition of causal effects under user-specified stochastic treatment regimes to functional longitudinal studies with continuous monitoring and develop an identification framework for a end-of-study outcome. We provide sufficient identification assumptions including a generalized consistency assumption, a sequential randomization assumption, a positivity assumption, and a novel “intervenable” assumption designed for the continuous-time case. Under these assumptions, we propose a g-computation process and an inverse probability weighting process, which suggest a g-computation formula and an inverse probability weighting formula for identification. For practical purposes, we also construct two classes of population estimating equations to identify these two processes, respectively, which further suggest a doubly robust identification formula with extra robustness against process misspecification.
APA
Ying, A.. (2024). Causality for Functional Longitudinal Data. Proceedings of the Third Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning, in Proceedings of Machine Learning Research 236:665-687 Available from https://proceedings.mlr.press/v236/ying24a.html.

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