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Conformal Poset Prediction for Label Ranking
Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1093-1095, 2026.
Abstract
In supervised label ranking, an input X $\in$ X is associated with a ranking $\Pi$ $\in$ Sm of a fixed label set Y = {1,...,m} (Fürnkranz and Hüllermeier, 2010). Write a $\succ$$\pi$ b when $\pi$ ranks a before b, and identify $\pi$ with {(a,b): a $\succ$$\pi$ b}. A ranker typically returns one permutation $\hat{\sigma}(X)$. Such a point prediction suppresses uncertainty: a model may be confident that a precedes c while having little evidence for the comparison between a and b, adjacent in $\hat{\sigma}(X)$. A natural output is therefore a strict partial order, which asserts only selected pairwise preferences and leaves the remaining pairs incomparable1. Our goal is to predict an informative partial order R(x) whose asserted comparisons are simultaneously correct, that is, P{R(Xn+1) $\subseteq$ $\Pi$n+1} $\geq$ 1 - $\alpha$.