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Volume 329: Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, 2-4 September 2026, Mölnlycke Health Care, Mölndal, Sweden
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Editors: Ernst Ahlberg, Ulf Johansson, Henrik Boström, Alberto Carlevaro, Johan Hallberg Szabadváry, Lars Carlsson
Preface
Preface
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1-5
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Foundations and Theory
Aggregation in conformal e-classification
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:6-27
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Inductive Venn–Abers and related regressors
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:28-61
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Distortion and Consistency in Conformal Prediction
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:62-81
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Skew-adaptive conformal prediction
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:82-100
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Target-Aligned Full Conformal Bayes under Continuous Label Shift
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:101-132
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Conformal Prediction via Transported Beta Laws
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:133-168
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Online monotone density estimation and log-optimal calibration
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:169-198
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Corrected Max-Rank for Finite-Sample Conformal Prediction
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:199-221
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Conformal prediction or the good old DKW from the 50s?
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1103-1118
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Calibration, Regression and Predictive Distributions
Well-calibrated probabilities for prediction sets
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:222-248
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CRPS-Optimal Binning for Univariate Conformal Regression
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:249-278
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Mondrian Conformal Regressors with Overlapping Categories
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:279-293
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Weighted Conformalized Quantile Regression for Active Learning
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:294-311
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Scaling-Score Conformal Prediction for Multi-Target Regression
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:312-342
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Conformal Calibration for Multi-Modal Regression with Missing Modalities
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:343-377
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When Post-Hoc Calibration Hurts: Platt Scaling and Isotonic Regression on Modern Tabular Models
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:378-381
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Explainability and Decision Making
Turning Feature Attributions into Sufficient Explanations Using Conformal Prediction
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:382-401
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Beyond the Predicted Class: Calibrated Explanations for Real Multiclass Decisions*
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:402-421
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Guarded Explanations: Conformal-Style Filtering for Distribution-Aware Rule Conditions
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:422-438
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Performance Estimation in Hybrid Interpretable Models with Venn Predictors
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:439-462
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Risk-Averse Evaluation of Conformal Scores through Conditional Value-at-Risk
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:463-485
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Venn Predictive Decision-Making
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:486-508
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Explaining Conformal Prediction: Diagnosing Reliability through Feature-Conditioned Outcomes and p-Value Margins
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:509-528
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Conformal Selection of Counterfactual Explanations: From Minimal to Robust Recourse
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:529-547
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When Is Conformal Coverage Free? Switching Thresholds for Predict-then-Optimize
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:548-575
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Conformal Repair on a Budget: An Empirical Protocol for Retraining Decisions
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:576-591
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Online Testing, Change and Anomaly Detection
Detecting Label Shift for Large Language Models with Conformal Test Martingales
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:592-612
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Conformal Anomaly Detection in Python: Moving Beyond Heuristic Thresholds with nonconform
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:613-632
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Multivariate Change-Point Detection Using Feature-Based Inductive Conformal Martingales
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:633-651
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Detecting Adversarial Attacks in Image Sequences with Conformal Test Martingales
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:652-675
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Conformalized Time Series Anomaly Thresholding with Latent Space Features
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:676-688
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Multi-Output and Structured Prediction
MuLaConf: Multi-label Conformal Prediction
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:689-709
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Generating Uncertainty Sets Using Conformal Prediction for Robust Optimization in Minimum Cost Flow
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:710-729
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Lightweight Online Multivariate Conformal Prediction
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:730-749
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Efficient Multi-Label Conformal Classification
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:750-760
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Robustness, Fairness and Distribution Shift
Fair Conformal Prediction for Individuals and Subgroups in Natural and Adversarial Settings: Theoretical Guarantees and Impossibility Results
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:761-792
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A Deployment Audit of Release-Side Risk in Conformal Triage under Prevalence Shift
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:793-812
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Particle-Based Conformal Prediction for Contact-Aware Uncertainty Calibration in Stratified Configuration Spaces
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:813-843
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Applications
Continuous Assurance of Digital Assets via Conformal Prediction over Polytope-Defined Operating Regions
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:844-866
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When to Trust Simulated Data: Conformal Prediction for Selective Synthetic Data Integration
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:867-886
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Exploring the Link Between Out-of-Distribution Detection and Conformal Prediction with Illustrations of Its Benefits
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:887-915
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Probabilistic Object Detection with Conformal Prediction
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:916-936
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Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:937-957
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Trustworthy AI in Wound Care Documentation
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:958-983
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TRACE-CRC: Trajectory-Adaptive Conformal Risk Control for Multi-Step Channel State Information Prediction
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:984-1009
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Pixelwise Split Conformal Prediction for Global Temperature Emulation via Leave-One-Out Ensemble Distillation
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1010-1028
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Uncertainty-aware Decision Support in Power Grid Demand Forecasting
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1029-1042
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Extended Abstracts
Adaptive Conformal Prediction for Full-Scale Plant pH Forecasting under Process Drift
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1043-1045
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Towards Group-Conditional Coverage Guarantees via Group-Invariant Representations
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1046-1048
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Adaptive Conformal Prediction for 5G Link Adaptation under Distribution Shift
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1049-1052
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Finite-Sample-Corrected Conformal Test Martingales for Wireless Link Adaptation
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1053-1056
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Martingale Detection of Treatment Effects in Wound Care
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1057-1059
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Reliable Environmental Planning at HS2 Construction Sites
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1060-1062
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What Can Conformal Risk Control Certify for PET/CT Tumour Segmentation?
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1063-1065
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Geometry-Aware Conformal Decoding for Motor BCI Systems
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1066-1069
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A Gibbs-Boltzmann Approach to Conformal Prediction under Distribution Shift
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1070-1072
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Too Good to Conform: The Inverse Quality Paradox in Counterfactual Filtering
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1073-1075
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Conformal Score Prediction in Figure Skating Competitions
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1076-1077
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No Free Lunch in Few-Step Flow Matching for Conformal Prediction
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1078-1083
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Attune, Don’t Prune: A Conformal Framework for Fact Preservation in News Content Attunement
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1084-1086
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Label-Free Distribution Shift Detection in Truck Mode Classification via Uncertainty-Gap Monitors
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1087-1089
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ConfBatch: Conformal Prediction for Adaptive Batch Sizing
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1090-1092
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Conformal Poset Prediction for Label Ranking
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1093-1095
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Robust Model Predictive Control via Conformal Prediction
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1096-1098
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Conformal prediction as a solution to distribution shifts in medical image analysis
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1099-1102
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Zero-Shot Probabilistic Stock Returns Forecasting with Pretrained RVFL Networks
; Proceedings of the Fifteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications, PMLR 329:1119-1124
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