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Volume 147: International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, 6-9 July 2021, University of Granada, Granada, Spain

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Editors: Andrés Cano, Jasper De Bock, Enrique Miranda, Serafı́n Moral

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Contents:

Preface

ISIPTA 2021: Preface

Andrés Cano, Jasper De Bock, Enrique Miranda, Serafı́n Moral; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:1-1

Full Papers

An Info-gap Framework for Comparing Epistemic Uncertainty Models in Hybrid Structural Reliability Analysis

Antoine Ajenjo, Emmanuel Ardillon, Vincent Chabridon, Scott Cogan, Emeline Sadoulet-Reboul; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:2–11-2–11

Logical Approximations of Qualitative Probability

Paolo Baldi, Hykel Hosni; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:12–21-12–21

Quantum Indistinguishability through Exchangeable Desirable Gambles

Alessio Benavoli, Alessandro Facchini, Marco Zaffalon; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:22–31-22–31

Generalized Hartley Measures on Credal Sets

Andrey G. Bronevich, Igor N. Rozenberg; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:32–41-32–41

Probability Filters as a Model of Belief; Comparisons to the Framework of Desirable Gambles

Catrin Campbell-Moore; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:42–50-42–50

Distributionally Robust, Skeptical Binary Inferences in Multi-label Problems

Yonatan Carlos Carranza Alarcón, Sébastien Destercke; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:51–60-51–60

Nonlinear Desirability as a Linear Classification Problem

Arianna Casanova, Alessio Benavoli, Marco Zaffalon; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:61–71-61–71

Valid Inferential Models for Prediction in Supervised Learning Problems

Leonardo Cella, Ryan Martin; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:72–82-72–82

When Belief Functions and Lower Probabilities are Indistinguishable

Esther Anna Corsi, Tommaso Flaminio, Hykel Hosni; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:83–89-83–89

Average Behaviour of Imprecise Markov Chains: A Single Pointwise Ergodic Theorem for Six Different Models

Jasper De Bock, Natan T’Joens; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:90–99-90–99

Epistemic Argumentation with Conditional Probabilities and Labeling Constraints

Glauber de Bona, Victor Hugo Nascimento Rocha, Fabio Cozman; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:100–109-100–109

Randomness and Imprecision: A Discussion of Recent Results

Gert de Cooman, Jasper De Bock; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:110–121-110–121

Processing Multiple Distortion Models: a Comparative Study

Sébastien Destercke, Ignacio Montes, Enrique Miranda; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:122–131-122–131

Credal sets of Coherent Conditional Probabilities Defined by Hausdorff Measures

Serena Doria; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:132–139-132–139

Extending the Domain of Imprecise Jump Processes from Simple Variables to Measurable Ones

Alexander Erreygers, Jasper De Bock; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:140–149-140–149

An Imprecise Bayesian Approach to Thermal Runaway Probability

Marc Fischer, Alexis Vignes; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:150–160-150–160

Total Evidence and Learning with Imprecise Probabilities

Ruobin Gong, Joseph B. Kadane, Mark J. Schervish, Teddy Seidenfeld; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:161–168-161–168

Dependent Possibilistic Arithmetic using Copulas

Ander Gray, Dominik Hose, Marco De Angelis, Michael Hanss, Scott Ferson; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:169–179-169–179

A Recursive Formulation of Possibilistic Filters

Dominik Hose, Michael Hanss; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:180–190-180–190

Information Algebras of Coherent Sets of Gambles in General Possibility Spaces

Juerg Kohlas, Arianna Casanova, Marco Zaffalon; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:191–200-191–200

Towards Improving Electoral Forecasting by Including Undecided Voters and Interval-valued Prior Knowledge

Dominik Kreiss, Georg Schollmeyer, Thomas Augustin; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:201–209-201–209

On the Comonotone Natural Extension of Marginal p-Boxes

Ignacio Montes; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:210–219-210–219

Using Credal C4.5 for Calibrated Label Ranking in Multi-Label Classification

Serafı́n Moral Garcı́a, Javier Garcı́a Castellano, Carlos J. Mantas Ruiz, Joaquı́n Abellán; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:220–228-220–228

Basic Probability Assignments Representable via Belief Intervals for Singletons in Dempster-Shafer Theory

Serafı́n Moral Garcı́a, Joaquı́n Abellán; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:229–234-229–234

Improving Algorithms for Decision Making with the Hurwicz Criterion

Nawapon Nakharutai, Matthias Troffaes; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:235–243-235–243

A Remarkable Equivalence between Non-Stationary Precise and Stationary Imprecise Uncertainty Models in Computable Randomness

Floris Persiau, Jasper De Bock, Gert de Cooman; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:244–253-244–253

Betting Schemes for Assessing Coherent Numerical and Comparative Conditional Possibilities

Davide Petturiti, Barbara Vantaggi; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:254–263-254–263

Decision-making from Partial Instances by Active Feature Querying

Benjamin Quost; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:264–272-264–272

Computing Simple Bounds for Regression Estimates for Linear Regression with Interval-valued Covariates

Georg Schollmeyer; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:273–279-273–279

Imprecise Hypothesis-Based Bayesian Decision Making with Composite Hypotheses

Patrick Michael Schwaferts, Thomas Augustin; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:280–288-280–288

Stochastic Optimization for Numerical Evaluation of Imprecise Probabilities

Nicholas Syring, Ryan Martin; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:289–298-289–298

Robust Model Checking with Imprecise Markov Reward Models

Alberto Termine, Alessandro Antonucci, Alessandro Facchini, Giuseppe Primiero; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:299–309-299–309

Global Upper Expectations for Discrete-Time Stochastic Processes: In Practice, They Are All The Same!

Natan T’Joens, Jasper De Bock; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:310–319-310–319

Independent Natural Extension for Choice Functions

Arthur Van Camp, Kevin Blackwell, Jason Konek; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:320–330-320–330

Discounting Desirable Gambles

Gregory Wheeler; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:331–341-331–341

The Sure Thing

Marco Zaffalon, Enrique Miranda; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:342–351-342–351

Short Papers

CREPO: An Open Repository to Benchmark Credal Network Algorithms

Rafael Cabañas, Alessandro Antonucci; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:352–356-352–356

Constructing Consonant Predictive Beliefs from Data with Scenario Theory

Marco De Angelis, Roberto Rocchetta, Ander Gray, Scott Ferson; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:357–360-357–360

Probabilistic Risk Management in Project Portfolios

Love Ekenberg, Mats Danielson; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:361–364-361–364

Towards a Theory of Confidence in Market-Based Predictions

Rupert Freeman, David Pennock, Daniel Reeves, David Rothschild, Bo Waggoner; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:365–368-365–368

Cautious Random Forests: a New Decision Strategy and some Experiments

Haifei Zhang, Benjamin Quost, Marie-Hélène Masson; Proceedings of the Twelveth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, PMLR 147:369–372-369–372

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